I’ve previously written about the great work of Professor Philip Tetlock, and you can find my past posts about him at The Best Resources On The Importance Of Knowing What You Don’t Know.

The Washington Post has just published an article about his recent work – check out The secrets the world’s top experts use to make really good predictions.

As far as I’m concerned, here’s the “money quote” from that piece, and it’s perfect for IB Theory of Knowledge classes:


I’ll certainly be adding this post to the “Best” list I mentioned earlier…